For those who haven't noticed this trend on their own, there's some evidence (
http://victorybriefsdaily.com/2010/01/26/side-bias-an-overview/) that THE NEG WINS TOO MUCH! One of the side effects of this side advantage, leaving aside the devestating impact on outround results, is that it likely contributes to the non-transitivity (
http://victorybriefsdaily.com/2010/02/03/debate-goodness-transitivity-and-the-toc/) of preliminary round results.
So what are two of the top threads on the theory board? They're people talking about whether 2AR strategies can be legitimately exercised or if they're too unfair! I'm not sure it's possible for an Aff to be abusive anymore. But the major problem is that from the comments, I wonder exactly what you people think the 2AR is supposed to be used for. The 2AR is functionally worthless if all the Aff can do is pull together arguments that have already been made and give them a new organizational structure. While some debaters are able to pull arguments off multiple parts of the flow and organize them coherently to tell a non-obvious story (here's looking at Little Wolfish), the vast majority of debaters aren't any better than their judge at this, and judges will do it for them when it seems obvious enough. Some people (namely Paul Dorasil) have proposed to remedy this by making the 1AR 7 minutes long and not having a 2AR. I don't support this, but it would be much better than giving the Aff those 3 worthless minutes at the end of the round they have now.
In policy debate, the 2NR is considered the hardest speech. This is the case because the 2NR has 5 minutes to advance the arguments they're going to win on and shut down all avenues for the AFF to come back. The AFF has 5 minutes to come back, win the arguments, and weigh. In LD, the NR has 6 minutes to do the same to a 3-minute 2AR, and to make the job easier our community has essentially prohibited new weighing (i.e. judges give little if any weight to it) and going all-in on an argument (apparently, the 2AR can't read evidence either). It's shocking that anyone loses on the Neg in LD! It takes some real incompetence to somehow fail to beat up a bound and gagged opponent.
So what's the solution? I propose that until we can fix the god-awful imbalance of speech times through a structural change, judges should give the 2AR a break. At a minimum, we should evaluate the new weighing done by the 2AR against the weighing that the NR should have preemptively done (and if the NR didn't weigh, give the 2AR carte blanche to select any weighing they want subject to minimum standards for warranted arguments). Beyond that, we should have reduced standards for what constitutes a new "argument." I don't propose that the 2AR can read a new disad to the counterplan, but if the Aff contested a disad link at some point earlier in the debate and wants to read new "no link" evidence, then judges should allow that and evaluate the cards/arguments by both sides comparatively.
I know some people are going to talk about the disadvantage this creates for the negative. I'm sorry, but if 6 minutes isn't enough to shut down a 3-minute speech that can't originate any arguments not present in a 4-minute rebuttal, then maybe the Neg should find a different activity. Policy debaters have done it successfully for decades. And even if you don't buy that, maybe we can start worrying about disadvantaging the Neg
after their prelim win percentage drops back below 60%.